With the 2024 presidential campaign season in full swing and all signs pointing to a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, a new New York Times and Siena College poll shows the two men locked in a dead heat. 

What You Need To Know

  • New York Times and Siena College poll shows President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump locked in a dead heat in a 2024 hypothetical rematch, with each getting 43% support 

  • That figure is despite the poll showing many voters view neither apparent  frontrunner favorably

  • Biden has appeared to shore up support in his party with 64% of democratic primary voters saying they would cast a ballot for him

The poll, conducted July 23-27, found if the election were held now, 43% of respondents would vote for Biden and 43% would support Trump. That left 10% of respondents who declined to put their support behind either candidate, with 4% saying they would back another person’s bid, 4% undecided and 6% saying they would not vote at all if left with these two choices. 

That is despite the poll – and other recent ones – showing many voters view neither apparent frontrunner favorably. 

The Times and Siena College poll found 55% of respondents view Trump unfavorably while 54% said the same about Biden. In June, a CNN/SSRS poll found 31% of registered voters did not view Biden or Trump positively. 

Regardless, with well under a year to go until the first 2024 presidential primaries, polling shows another Trump-Biden matchup is what the country is likely to get – even amid questions about Trump's looming legal troubles and questions over the age of both men. Biden, 80, is the oldest sitting president, with Trump right behind him at 77.

The incumbent president has appeared to shore up support in his party. The Times and Siena College poll found that if the primary election were held today, 64% of Democratic primary voters said they would cast a ballot for Biden. 

Democratic candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Marianne Williamson polled at 13% and 10% respectively. 

Yet half of respondents said Biden should not be the party’s 2024 presidential candidate, regardless of whether or not they would vote for him. Of those who said they want someone different than Biden, the most common reason cited was the president’s age. 

As the Democratic president seeks another four years in the White House, he and his top officials have honed in on the economy, branding his economic agenda as “Bidenomics” and setting off across the country to try to sell it. 

Despite the now weeks-long push and positive economic indicators, 49% of respondents rated economic conditions as poor. Only 20% saw conditions as good or excellent. 

A Times and Siena College poll released on Monday showed that even in an ultra-crowded GOP primary field, Trump garnered 54% of the vote, beating the candidate holding the number two spot, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, by 37 percentage points. 

Trump has pleaded not guilty to state charges in New York and federal charges in Florida and is facing two more investigations in Washington, D.C., and Georgia that could lead to further indictments. 

Of those polled by Times and Siena College, 51% said they believe the former President has committed serious federal crimes, including 55% of independents.